Shared analysis2026-09-28

BTC-USD · daily cycle analysis

Random Walk regime · Hurst 0.595 · 119-bar daily cycle. Snapshot captured 2026-09-28 from a live FractalCycles analysis.

Hurst exponent

0.595

trending

Regime

Random Walk

Confidence 100%

Dominant cycle

119.0 bars

Next peak in 97 · trough in 38

Significant cycles

Out of 20 candidates

Price + composite cycle

Detrended composite of 5 selected cycles, scaled and overlaid on the most recent 600 bars. The dashed segment shows the cycle composite projected forward 119 bars.

Detected cycles

Cycles ranked by spectral power. Statistical significance is tested against the Bartels distribution against the platform default threshold; only cycles below that threshold are flagged significant.

Rank	Period (bars)	Bartels p	Significant	In composite	Phase	Next peak	Next trough
1	119.00	100.000	Yes	Yes	Falling toward zero	95	36
2	60.00	100.000	Yes	Yes	Falling below zero	45	15
3	27.00	100.000	Yes	Yes	Falling toward zero	22	8
4	29.00	100.000	Yes	Yes	Falling toward zero	24	10
5	83.00	100.000	Yes	Yes	Falling below zero	58	17
6	23.00	100.000	Yes	No	Falling below zero	16	5
7	32.00	100.000	Yes	No	Just past peak	28	12
8	158.00	100.000	Yes	No	Approaching peak	12	91
9	15.00	100.000	Yes	No	Falling below zero	10	3
10	18.00	100.000	Yes	No	Falling toward zero	14	5
11	25.00	100.000	Yes	No	Falling toward zero	19	7
12	8.00	100.000	Yes	No	Approaching trough	4	0
13	10.00	100.000	Yes	No	Approaching trough	6	1
14	12.00	100.000	Yes	No	Approaching trough	7	1
15	37.00	100.000	Yes	No	Just past peak	33	14

Power spectrum

Goertzel-DFT power across the analyzed period range. Peaks indicate candidate cycle lengths; statistical significance is tested separately via Bartels.

How this snapshot was produced

Detrend method: hodrick-prescott. Sampling cadence: daily. Total bars analyzed: 600.

FractalCycles applies the Goertzel discrete Fourier transform across a candidate period range, tests each peak against the Bartels distribution for statistical significance, and classifies the current regime via the Hurst exponent (rescaled-range analysis). This snapshot represents the analysis output at the moment of sharing and does not update as new bars print.