Shared analysis2026-10-29

BTC-USD · daily cycle analysis

Random Walk regime · Hurst 0.590 · 231-bar daily cycle. Snapshot captured 2026-10-29 from a live FractalCycles analysis.

Hurst exponent

0.590

trending

Regime

Random Walk

Confidence 100%

Dominant cycle

231.0 bars

Next peak in 50 · trough in 166

Significant cycles

Out of 20 candidates

Price + composite cycle

Detrended composite of 6 selected cycles, scaled and overlaid on the most recent 600 bars. The dashed segment shows the cycle composite projected forward 3828 bars.

Detected cycles

Cycles ranked by spectral power. Statistical significance is tested against the Bartels distribution against the platform default threshold; only cycles below that threshold are flagged significant.

Rank	Period (bars)	Bartels p	Significant	In composite	Phase	Next peak	Next trough
1	231.00	100.000	Yes	Yes	Rising from trough	50	166
2	280.00	100.000	Yes	No	Rising toward zero	97	237
3	60.00	100.000	Yes	No	Falling toward zero	48	18
4	23.00	100.000	Yes	No	Approaching trough	14	2
5	85.00	100.000	Yes	No	Falling toward zero	70	27
6	30.00	100.000	Yes	No	Just past peak	28	13
7	109.00	100.000	Yes	No	Approaching trough	59	5
8	32.00	100.000	Yes	No	Approaching peak	1	17
9	82.00	100.000	Yes	No	Falling toward zero	62	21
10	169.00	100.000	Yes	Yes	Approaching peak	4	88
11	198.00	100.000	Yes	No	Rising from trough	26	125
12	1276.00	100.000	Yes	Yes	Approaching trough	667	29
13	701.00	100.000	Yes	Yes	Rising toward zero	218	569
14	57.00	100.000	Yes	No	Falling toward zero	46	18
15	39.00	100.000	Yes	No	Approaching trough	21	1

Power spectrum

Goertzel-DFT power across the analyzed period range. Peaks indicate candidate cycle lengths; statistical significance is tested separately via Bartels.

How this snapshot was produced

Detrend method: hodrick-prescott. Sampling cadence: daily. Total bars analyzed: 4426.

FractalCycles applies the Goertzel discrete Fourier transform across a candidate period range, tests each peak against the Bartels distribution for statistical significance, and classifies the current regime via the Hurst exponent (rescaled-range analysis). This snapshot represents the analysis output at the moment of sharing and does not update as new bars print.