Shared analysis2026-11-09

BTC-USD · daily cycle analysis

Trending regime · Hurst 0.619 · 118-bar daily cycle. Snapshot captured 2026-11-09 from a live FractalCycles analysis.

Hurst exponent

0.619

trending

Regime

Trending

Confidence 100%

Dominant cycle

118.0 bars

Next peak in 71 · trough in 12

Significant cycles

Out of 20 candidates

Price + composite cycle

Detrended composite of 1 selected cycle, scaled and overlaid on the most recent 600 bars. The dashed segment shows the cycle composite projected forward 354 bars.

Detected cycles

Cycles ranked by spectral power. Statistical significance is tested against the Bartels distribution against the platform default threshold; only cycles below that threshold are flagged significant.

Rank	Period (bars)	Bartels p	Significant	In composite	Phase	Next peak	Next trough
1	7.00	0.000	No	No	Rising toward zero	2	5
2	118.00	100.000	Yes	Yes	Approaching trough	71	12
3	74.00	100.000	Yes	No	Falling below zero	53	16
4	85.00	100.000	Yes	No	Falling below zero	61	19
5	17.00	100.000	Yes	No	Rising from trough	4	13
6	15.00	100.000	Yes	No	Rising toward zero	5	12
7	154.00	100.000	Yes	No	Falling toward zero	123	46
8	23.00	100.000	Yes	No	Rising toward zero	7	19
9	27.00	100.000	Yes	No	Just past trough	11	25
10	61.00	100.000	Yes	No	Falling toward zero	47	17
11	33.00	100.000	Yes	No	Falling below zero	23	7
12	19.00	100.000	Yes	No	Rising from trough	4	13
13	54.00	100.000	Yes	No	Falling below zero	39	12
14	40.00	100.000	Yes	No	Just past peak	37	17
15	45.00	100.000	Yes	No	Approaching trough	26	4

Power spectrum

Goertzel-DFT power across the analyzed period range. Peaks indicate candidate cycle lengths; statistical significance is tested separately via Bartels.

How this snapshot was produced

Detrend method: hodrick-prescott. Sampling cadence: daily. Total bars analyzed: 600.

FractalCycles applies the Goertzel discrete Fourier transform across a candidate period range, tests each peak against the Bartels distribution for statistical significance, and classifies the current regime via the Hurst exponent (rescaled-range analysis). This snapshot represents the analysis output at the moment of sharing and does not update as new bars print.