BTC-USD · weekly cycle analysis
Trending regime · Hurst 0.614 · 33-bar weekly cycle. Snapshot captured 2026-10-20 from a live FractalCycles analysis.
Price + composite cycle
Detrended composite of 3 selected cycles, scaled and overlaid on the most recent 600 bars. The dashed segment shows the cycle composite projected forward 184 bars.
Detected cycles
Cycles ranked by spectral power. Statistical significance is tested against the Bartels distribution against the platform default threshold; only cycles below that threshold are flagged significant.
| Rank | Period (bars) | Bartels p | Significant | In composite | Phase | Next peak | Next trough |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33.00 | 100.000 | Yes | Yes | Rising from trough | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | 40.00 | 100.000 | Yes | No | Rising toward zero | 14 | 34 |
| 3 | 184.00 | 100.000 | Yes | Yes | Approaching trough | 98 | 6 |
| 4 | 12.00 | 100.000 | Yes | No | Just past peak | 12 | 6 |
| 5 | 101.00 | 100.000 | Yes | No | Rising toward zero | 33 | 84 |
| 6 | 24.00 | 100.000 | Yes | No | Approaching peak | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | 28.00 | 100.000 | Yes | No | Rising from trough | 5 | 19 |
| 8 | 6.00 | 0.000 | No | No | Falling below zero | 4 | 1 |
| 9 | 18.00 | 100.000 | Yes | No | Falling below zero | 13 | 4 |
| 10 | 77.00 | 100.000 | Yes | Yes | Rising from trough | 15 | 53 |
| 11 | 50.00 | 100.000 | Yes | No | Approaching peak | 0 | 25 |
| 12 | 65.00 | 100.000 | Yes | No | Approaching peak | 7 | 39 |
| 13 | 14.00 | 100.000 | Yes | No | Just past trough | 6 | 13 |
| 14 | 8.00 | 100.000 | Yes | No | Falling toward zero | 7 | 3 |
Power spectrum
Goertzel-DFT power across the analyzed period range. Peaks indicate candidate cycle lengths; statistical significance is tested separately via Bartels.
How this snapshot was produced
Detrend method: hodrick-prescott. Sampling cadence: weekly. Total bars analyzed: 600.
FractalCycles applies the Goertzel discrete Fourier transform across a candidate period range, tests each peak against the Bartels distribution for statistical significance, and classifies the current regime via the Hurst exponent (rescaled-range analysis). This snapshot represents the analysis output at the moment of sharing and does not update as new bars print.