Shared analysis2026-10-16

GC=F · hourly cycle analysis

Random Walk regime · Hurst 0.533 · 56-bar hourly cycle. Snapshot captured 2026-10-16 from a live FractalCycles analysis.

Hurst exponent

0.533

random-walk

Regime

Random Walk

Confidence 99%

Dominant cycle

56.0 bars

Next peak in 54 · trough in 26

Significant cycles

Out of 19 candidates

Price + composite cycle

Detrended composite of 3 selected cycles, scaled and overlaid on the most recent 600 bars. The dashed segment shows the cycle composite projected forward 84 bars.

Detected cycles

Cycles ranked by spectral power. Statistical significance is tested against the Bartels distribution against the platform default threshold; only cycles below that threshold are flagged significant.

Rank	Period (bars)	Bartels p	Significant	In composite	Phase	Next peak	Next trough
1	56.00	100.000	Yes	Yes	Just past peak	53	25
2	33.00	100.000	Yes	No	Falling below zero	21	4
3	11.00	100.000	Yes	No	Falling below zero	8	2
4	29.00	100.000	Yes	No	Just past trough	14	29
5	19.00	100.000	Yes	No	Falling toward zero	16	7
6	45.00	100.000	Yes	Yes	Falling toward zero	36	13
7	8.00	100.000	Yes	No	Approaching trough	4	0
8	25.00	100.000	Yes	No	Rising toward zero	7	19
9	22.00	100.000	Yes	No	Approaching peak	1	12
10	84.00	100.000	Yes	Yes	Falling toward zero	73	31
11	39.00	100.000	Yes	No	Falling below zero	27	8
12	188.00	100.000	Yes	No	Falling toward zero	156	62
13	13.00	100.000	Yes	No	Falling below zero	8	2
14	124.00	100.000	Yes	No	Rising toward zero	42	104
15	42.00	100.000	Yes	No	Falling below zero	31	10

Power spectrum

Goertzel-DFT power across the analyzed period range. Peaks indicate candidate cycle lengths; statistical significance is tested separately via Bartels.

How this snapshot was produced

Detrend method: hodrick-prescott. Sampling cadence: hourly. Total bars analyzed: 600.

FractalCycles applies the Goertzel discrete Fourier transform across a candidate period range, tests each peak against the Bartels distribution for statistical significance, and classifies the current regime via the Hurst exponent (rescaled-range analysis). This snapshot represents the analysis output at the moment of sharing and does not update as new bars print.