Shared analysis2026-10-16

GC=F · weekly cycle analysis

Random Walk regime · Hurst 0.541 · 71-bar weekly cycle. Snapshot captured 2026-10-16 from a live FractalCycles analysis.

Hurst exponent

0.541

random-walk

Regime

Random Walk

Confidence 98%

Dominant cycle

71.0 bars

Next peak in 38 · trough in 3

Significant cycles

Out of 18 candidates

Price + composite cycle

Detrended composite of 2 selected cycles, scaled and overlaid on the most recent 600 bars. The dashed segment shows the cycle composite projected forward 148 bars.

Detected cycles

Cycles ranked by spectral power. Statistical significance is tested against the Bartels distribution against the platform default threshold; only cycles below that threshold are flagged significant.

Rank	Period (bars)	Bartels p	Significant	In composite	Phase	Next peak	Next trough
1	71.00	100.000	Yes	Yes	Approaching trough	38	3
2	9.00	100.000	Yes	No	Rising from trough	2	6
3	25.00	100.000	Yes	No	Falling below zero	17	4
4	50.00	100.000	Yes	No	Rising toward zero	18	43
5	41.00	100.000	Yes	No	Rising from trough	6	26
6	46.00	100.000	Yes	No	Rising toward zero	12	35
7	101.00	100.000	Yes	No	Falling below zero	68	17
8	13.00	100.000	Yes	No	Rising toward zero	5	11
9	148.00	100.000	Yes	Yes	Falling below zero	110	36
10	16.00	100.000	Yes	No	Just past trough	7	15
11	6.00	0.000	No	No	Approaching trough	3	0
12	21.00	100.000	Yes	No	Just past trough	9	20
13	84.00	100.000	Yes	No	Approaching trough	51	9
14	56.00	100.000	Yes	No	Just past trough	24	52
15	34.00	100.000	Yes	No	Just past peak	33	16

Power spectrum

Goertzel-DFT power across the analyzed period range. Peaks indicate candidate cycle lengths; statistical significance is tested separately via Bartels.

How this snapshot was produced

Detrend method: hodrick-prescott. Sampling cadence: weekly. Total bars analyzed: 600.

FractalCycles applies the Goertzel discrete Fourier transform across a candidate period range, tests each peak against the Bartels distribution for statistical significance, and classifies the current regime via the Hurst exponent (rescaled-range analysis). This snapshot represents the analysis output at the moment of sharing and does not update as new bars print.